Daily brief
Morning report — Tue 27 Oct 2026 ~07:51 HKT / 08:51 KST (research/paper)
Research/paper only. No live orders or recommendations. KRX opens 09:00 KST (08:00 HKT); pack written pre-open. Age cut: news Mon 26 + Tue 27; DART ≥ Mon 26 Oct 15:40 KST. Do not treat Yahoo prev-close as a Tuesday gap — Mon official close is last cash.
today Tue pre-open after Mon soft Seoul + split HK. Mon cash: KOSPI 5,469.47 (−1.46%), Samsung ₩213,000 (−1.16%), SK hynix ₩1,275,000 (−0.16%); Yonhap FX 15:30 1,323.1. HK Mon: HSI 23,211.81 (+0.51%), HSTECH 3,857.53 (−0.36%); Zhipu HK$505.50 (+1.30%), MiniMax HK$174.10 (−7.20%). SKHY Mon RTH $142.62 (+4.09%); same-session prem +48.00%. NVDA Mon $216.00 (+2.39%). China AI: DeepSeek+MiniMax export authorisation; Moonshot K3.1 Pro. DART KEEP×6 overnight (Green Plus×2, Kangstem, BenotNR halted, Incon, SLS Bio halted). No 000660 keep.
watchlists US AJ: NEW rows 0. Standing Y: AVGO, MU, MRVL, NVDA (HC), XPEV, META, AMD. Wait ORCL; Caution TSLA, NIO (TSLA Caution reinforced — Elon/marketing/neocloud book-talk); Watch SPCX (neocloud cost-of-capital reinforced); Avoid EOSE, EOS (EOS Avoid reinforced — 3-yr low); N PLTR, AAPL, RIVN, SNDK. Korea attractive: EMPTY. Hardcore unread_protected. Outlook Mon trade-alert app-teaser only.
asia news 8 items (a 4 / b 4 / c 0). DeepSeek+MiniMax export auth; MiniMax −7.2% / Zhipu +1.3%; Moonshot K3.1 Pro; KOSPI −1.46% / Samsung+Hynix soft; HSI+HSTECH split; NVDA +2.4%.
X Priority authors via X MCP: n_new=8 since Mon eve ~21:57 HKT. Sentiment mixed / medium: Jukan CoWoS +20% UP vs AJ EOS Avoid + China AI-infra pour-one-out + MSFT 60k buyouts DOWN; Anthropic prospectus MIXED. Home unavailable; hardcore unread_protected.
DART 10 keeps after age cut (floor Mon 15:40 KST): NEW RF Materials 327260 MIXED 8%+ · RFHIC 218410 UP 8%+ · Eco&Dream 101360 UP 3-8% · SEMCNS 252990 UP 3-8% · Green Plus 186230 MIXED 8%+×2 · Kangstem 217730 UP 1-3% · BenotNR 206400 UP 8%+ halted p≈0 · Incon 083640 UP 1-3% · SLS Bio 246250 MIXED 8%+ halted p≈0. no 000660. Last watch scan 2026-10-27 11:20 KST. ping_needed=true (forward NEW×2 RF Systems+ST Pharm to DART).
funding BN vs HL (~07:40 HKT snap; next BN 08:00 HKT): BTC +0.65 / ETH +1.36 / SOL +0.00; SKHY +22.54 bp, SKHYNIX/SKHX +19.75 bp. HL SKHX mark−oracle +71.2 bp. Compressed vs Mon AM. Paper only.
HYROX Warsaw HYROX: OPEN since Wed 14 Oct (PL saleStatus=onSale confirmed curl Tue morning; PRO MEN Friday active @ 600 PLN; last_pinged_id pl-page-onsale-2026-10-14). Outlook newest still Exciting news 5 Oct — no new OPEN/sold-out/wave. ping_needed=false.
Asia news tape
Tuesday age cut: Mon 26 + Tue 27 · n=8 (a 4 / b 4 / c 0) · refreshed 2026-10-27 07:51 HKT / 2026-10-27 08:51 KST. Rank a = China AI / HK; b = SK hynix/Samsung/KOSPI/HSI/NVDA; c = other macro.
Session context: Tue 27 Oct pre-open (~07:51 HKT / 08:51 KST): KRX cash opens 09:00 KST. Mon 26 cash: KOSPI 5,469.47 (−1.46%), Samsung ₩213,000 (−1.16%), 000660 ₩1,275,000 (−0.16%); Yonhap FX 15:30 1,323.1. SKHY Mon RTH $142.62. HK Mon: HSI 23,211.81 (+0.51%); HSTECH 3,857.53 (−0.36%); Zhipu 505.50 (+1.30%); MiniMax 174.10 (−7.20%). NVDA Mon $216.00. Do not invent Tue gap from Yahoo prev-close.
rank aThe Register · PRC state media (Fri) · Mon wire · 2026-10-26
China authorises DeepSeek + MiniMax to keep exporting AI after new export-control catalogue
Register (Mon 26 Oct UTC): Beijing mid-Oct revised Catalogue of Technologies Prohibited/Restricted from Export (23 LLM/agent/cluster items; open-source exempt). Fri state media: DeepSeek and MiniMax received authorization to continue exports — champions can still sell abroad under license regime.
Implication: a-rank China AI: export-license path keeps DeepSeek/MiniMax overseas distribution alive vs blanket ban optics — constructive for China OSS/API export narrative into Tue; idiosyncratic vs Seoul cash.
www.theregister.com/ai-and-ml/2026/10/26/after-threatening-ai-export-ban
rank aYahoo 0100.HK · HK wires · 2026-10-26 close
MiniMax-W 0100.HK −7.20% to HK$174.10 — gives back Fri IPO reclaim
Yahoo official Mon close: MiniMax-W (0100.HK) HK$174.10 (−13.50 / −7.20% vs Fri 187.60; range 160.60–185.80; vol ~17.9m). Fri had reclaimed offer-area optics (+16.74%); Mon fade with soft HSTECH.
Implication: a-rank China AI / HK: MiniMax mean-reverts after Fri bounce — soft HK China-AI optics into Tue; still idiosyncratic vs KRX memory.
finance.yahoo.com/quote/0100.HK/
rank aYahoo 2513.HK · HK AI tape · 2026-10-26 close
Zhipu 2513.HK +1.30% to HK$505.50 — holds Fri rebound while MiniMax fades
Yahoo official Mon close: Zhipu (02513) HK$505.50 (+6.50 / +1.30% vs Fri 499.00; range 466.20–511.00; vol ~5.75m). Diverges from MiniMax −7.2% / HSTECH −0.36%.
Implication: a-rank with MiniMax: Zhipu holds Fri rebound — split China-AI tape on HK, not a Seoul same-session print.
finance.yahoo.com/quote/2513.HK/
rank aMoonshot / Kimi blog · wires · 2026-10-26
Moonshot Kimi K3.1 Pro live — 2.8T MoE / 1M context; open weights targeted 4 Nov
Kimi blog + Mon wires: Kimi K3.1 Pro (2.8T total / ~104B active MoE, 1M-token multimodal) available on Kimi.com/API; Highspeed tier; open weights still targeted 4 Nov 2026. Separate Mon colour: quota reset after launch rate-limit complaints.
Implication: a-rank China AI model: another open-weight frontier push into Fed week — soft constructive China OSS race colour; not Korea cash.
www.kimi.ai/blog/kimi-k3-1-pro
rank bYonhap EN · 2026-10-26 16:33 KST
KOSPI −1.46% to 5,469.47 — foreign sell ahead of chip earnings + Fed
Yonhap EN Mon: KOSPI −80.83 / −1.46% to 5,469.47 after open −0.92%; foreign net sell ₩695.5bn; inst/indiv net buy ₩611bn / ₩47bn. Light turnover ₩12.01tn. Won 1,323.1 /USD at 15:30 (vs Fri 1,324.6).
Implication: Core b-rank: Mon risk-off into SK hynix Wed / Samsung Thu earnings + Fed Tue start. Watch Tue open leftover vs overnight US. Paper only.
en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20261026006452320
rank bYonhap EN · Yahoo/Naver · 2026-10-26 close
Samsung ₩213,000 (−1.16%) / SK hynix ₩1,275,000 (−0.16%) — soft into Q3 week
Yonhap/Yahoo Mon official: Samsung ₩213,000 (−1.16% vs Fri 215,500); SK hynix ₩1,275,000 (−2,000 / −0.16% vs Fri 1,277,000). Hynix traded as high as ₩1,315,000 early then faded. Do NOT invent Tue gap from Yahoo prev-close.
Implication: Chip beta soft Mon into Wed Hynix / Thu Samsung IR. Hynix desk: Mon ₩1,275,000 is last cash into Tue. Paper only.
en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20261026006452320
rank bChina Daily HK · Yahoo HSTECH.HK · 2026-10-26 close
HSI +0.51% to 23,211.81; HSTECH −0.36% to 3,857.53
China Daily HK / Yahoo: Hang Seng Mon 23,211.81 (+0.51% / +118.44 vs Fri 23,093.37). Hang Seng TECH 3,857.53 (−0.36% / −14.13 vs Fri 3,871.66). Split risk — blue-chip up, tech soft.
Implication: b-rank: HK blue-chip firms while HSTECH/China-AI soft with MiniMax — Asia tone mixed into Tue KR open.
www.chinadailyhk.com/hk/article/641700
rank bYahoo NVDA · US Mon RTH · 2026-10-26 close
NVDA Mon RTH $216.00 (+2.39%) — US AI beta rebound into Asia Tue
Yahoo Mon RTH: NVDA $216.00 (+5.04 / +2.39% vs Fri 210.96; range 212.61–217.75; vol ~90.0m). Soft constructive US AI beta overnight into Tue KR pre-open.
Implication: b-rank NVDA-China/AI adjacency: US chip rebound overnight vs Mon Seoul soft — watch Tue auction leftover. Paper only.
finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/
Gaps: HKET EN / SCMP deep paywall skipped. KED Global korean-market not used this pass. Caixin homepage reachable but no fresh Mon/Tue single-name AI wire pulled beyond Register/Moonshot. Finance MCP needsAuth — Korea attractive EMPTY. @alojohhardcore unread_protected (no portal; no invent). Home/Following unavailable (no computerUse). BN next funding 08:00 HKT after ~07:40 snap — used am1027 funding board. Yahoo ^HSI Mon bar C=None mid-pull; used China Daily close 23,211.81 + Yahoo reg. SenseTime / Alibaba-Tencent AI no fresh Mon EN wire beyond Register export colour.
X · priority
2026-10-27 07:51 HKT / 2026-10-27 08:51 KST · priority authors (@alojoh @citrini @zephyr_z9 @jukan05 @BowTiedBull) · NEW since Mon eve ~21:57 HKT: n_new=8 (X MCP). Eve NEW → PRIOR where in Mon+Tue window. Sentiment mixed / medium. Home unavailable. Hardcore unread_protected.
up@jukan05 · 2026-10-27 06:39 HKT · NEW
Jukan: TSMC planning to raise CoWoS prices ~20% (INTC tagged).
Implication: UP TSM advanced-packaging / CoWoS scarcity colour into Tue — constructive ASP/pricing power; soft INTC competitive optics. Paper only.
x.com/jukan05/status/2114849514347806790
mixed@citrini · 2026-10-27 07:03 HKT · NEW
Citrini: 'Correlation ≠ causation' quoting Goldman — AI adoption share now shows statistically significant negative correlation with employment growth (AI spreading beyond tech).
Implication: MIXED AI-labor / productivity colour — soft for labor-share optimism; constructive for AI efficiency narrative into Fed week. Soft single-name.
x.com/citrini/status/2114855526458876231
mixed@zephyr_z9 · 2026-10-27 03:14 HKT · NEW
Zephyr: asks what % workforce hyperscalers (MSFT/GOOG/META/AMZN corp) cut over next 2y from AI efficiency + to fund DC CAPEX.
Implication: MIXED hyperscaler opex vs DC-capex colour — frames MSFT buyout tape as AI-funding reshuffle. Soft single-name.
x.com/zephyr_z9/status/2114797952833405053
mixed@BowTiedBull · 2026-10-27 03:39 HKT · NEW
BowTiedBull: Anthropic IPO should push starting a biz ASAP — white-collar positions eaten (cites MSFT news); back office = code.
Implication: MIXED/DOWN white-collar / soft for labor-intensive software services; constructive agent-builder narrative. Soft single-name.
x.com/BowTiedBull/status/2114804019051012517
down@BowTiedBull · 2026-10-27 00:41 HKT · NEW
BowTiedBull: quotes MSFT offering buyouts to ~60k workers amid AI spending boom — flags rev/employee + profit/employee as key metrics now.
Implication: DOWN MSFT workforce / AI-efficiency colour — soft near-term headcount optics; constructive for AI-capex priority. Soft single-name.
x.com/BowTiedBull/status/2114759305522192688
down@citrini · 2026-10-26 23:06 HKT · NEW
Citrini: 'Pour one out for the Chinese AI infrastructure investors' (Mon eve).
Implication: DOWN China AI-infra / HK China-AI optics — aligns with MiniMax Mon −7.2% / soft HSTECH. Soft a-rank adjacency.
x.com/citrini/status/2114735528973377935
mixed@alojoh · 2026-10-26 22:01 HKT · NEW
AJ: Anthropic preliminary prospectus — 1H rev $16.3B; op loss $693M mostly FV changes on convertible debt.
Implication: MIXED Anthropic IPO / AI-software colour — large rev vs accounting-loss optics. No sleeve invented. Soft single-name.
x.com/alojoh/status/2114719159963574344
down@alojoh · 2026-10-27 00:19 HKT · NEW
AJ: 'EOS is approaching a 3-year low. Told you it was full of red flags.'
Implication: DOWN EOS Avoid reinforced — standing Avoid unchanged. Paper only.
x.com/alojoh/status/2114753682277285967
up@jukan05 · 2026-10-26 16:58 HKT · PRIOR
PRIOR (Mon eve): Jukan — SK hynix preparing $38–45bn additional shareholder returns (mostly special divs after prior buybacks).
Implication: UP 000660 capital-return colour into Wed Q3 IR — constructive vs Mon soft cash. Paper only until print.
x.com/jukan05/status/2114642724360163417
up@jukan05 · 2026-10-26 14:02 HKT · PRIOR
PRIOR (Mon aft): Jukan — Samsung + SK hynix plan 8-high HBM4 mass production / volume Q2 next year (Rubin Ultra / Vera Rubin colour).
Implication: UP 000660/005930 HBM4 volume timeline — constructive into Tue KR. Paper only.
x.com/jukan05/status/2114598413274882053
up@jukan05 · 2026-10-26 16:50 HKT · PRIOR
PRIOR (Mon eve): Jukan — Lam CEO: SLC NAND for AI cuts bits/cell ~⅓ so +1pp SLC ≈ +2% wafer for same bits.
Implication: UP NAND wafer-tightness / memory ASP colour — soft 000660/005930 NAND sleeve. Paper only.
x.com/jukan05/status/2114640844817060254
down@alojoh · 2026-10-26 13:55 HKT · PRIOR
PRIOR (Mon aft): AJ — Neoclouds are funding vehicles if no lasting DC differentiator; competition = cost of capital; Elon shades peers.
Implication: DOWN pure-neocloud / SPCX Watch + TSLA Caution colour. Standing sleeves unchanged.
x.com/alojoh/status/2114596679370391940
down@zephyr_z9 · 2026-10-26 20:03 HKT · PRIOR
PRIOR (Mon eve): Zephyr — NBIS CEO debt markets closed for neoclouds + Elon; 200+ neoclouds face consolidation.
Implication: DOWN pure-neocloud debt-financed peers — reinforces AJ cost-of-capital Caution. Soft NBIS/neocloud.
x.com/zephyr_z9/status/2114689493026705680
up@citrini · 2026-10-26 18:52 HKT · PRIOR
PRIOR (Mon eve): Citrini — Agentic Utilities basket +~38% vs SOXX over 6mo; drawdown −9% vs SOXX −27%.
Implication: UP non-semi agentic-utility / AI-software infra vs SOXX beta. Soft single-name.
x.com/citrini/status/2114671486846025792
DART · material KR
Last-updated 2026-10-27 12:50 KST (Asia/Seoul) · morning pack 2026-10-27 08:51 KST · KEEP×14 after age cut ≥ Mon 15:40 KST · scan bump · no new keep · no 000660 · ping_needed=false
mixed 3-8%Chips&Media 094360 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-27 11:25 KST · p≈12%
3Q26 OP ₩1.66bn (+9% YoY / +47% QoQ) · NI −₩0.61bn (to loss) · sales ₩7.16bn (+8% YoY)
Tue 27 Oct 11:25 KST (cash session): Chips&Media OP +9% YoY / +47% QoQ on soft sales, but pre-tax and NI flip to a −₩0.61bn loss after a solid black 2Q — OP green vs below-OP hole. MIXED: operating line is constructive (license +33% offsets royalty −26.5%), while the NI cliff is the two-way whip on a ~₩250bn KOSDAQ semi-IP name. 3-8%: mid-thin mcap can whip past 1-3% on an NI-to-loss print, but OP still up so refuse clean 8%+ directional shock. p≈12%: live +4.5% / high +9.9% already cleared the top of 3-8% — leftover is fade/hold into the close (don’t-chase), not unused band.
Why direction: OP +9% YoY / +47% QoQ vs NI to loss (−₩0.61bn) → MIXED, not clean UP or DOWN. · Why magnitude: ~₩250bn KOSDAQ with NI to a loss whip → MIXED 3-8%; refuse 8%+ because OP is still green YoY/QoQ. · Why probability: Live +4.5% / high +9.9% → ~12% leftover after high already cleared the band (don’t-chase).
DART
up 3-8%Dong-A ST 170900 · KOSPI · 2026-10-27 11:20 KST · p≈22%
3Q26 OP ₩21.4bn (+28% YoY / +97% QoQ) · sales ₩206.5bn (+4% YoY / −1% QoQ) · separate
Tue 27 Oct 11:20 KST (cash session): Dong-A ST separate OP nearly doubles QoQ (+97%) to ₩21.4bn while sales are flat (−0.6% QoQ) and still +4% YoY — clean margin expansion, not a top-line spike. UP: operating leverage on a ~₩340bn KOSPI pharma mid-cap is real re-rating fuel when both YoY and QoQ OP accelerate. 3-8%: mid-cap size + double-digit YoY OP with a near-double sequential print clears 1-3% but is not thin-KOSDAQ 8%+ shock class (RF Systems / Flitto). p≈22%: live already +3.4% / high +4.7% so the lower half of the band is in; leftover is grind into the upper half into the afternoon, not a fresh unused clip.
Why direction: OP +28% YoY and +97% QoQ on flat sales → clean margin-expansion UP, not MIXED. · Why magnitude: ~₩340bn KOSPI mid-cap with near-double QoQ OP → UP 3-8%; refuse 8%+ thin-shock and refuse 1-3% under-band. · Why probability: Live +3.4% / high +4.7% → ~22% leftover of the upper half of 3-8% into the close.
DART
mixed 1-3%ST Pharm 237690 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-27 11:14 KST · p≈20%
3Q26 OP ₩15.7bn (+6.6% YoY / −14% QoQ) · NI ₩0.91bn (−95% YoY) · sales ₩97.6bn (+19% YoY / −10% QoQ)
Tue 27 Oct 11:14 KST (cash session): ST Pharm OP still +6.6% YoY but −14% QoQ with sales −10% QoQ, while pre-tax/NI collapsed ~−87%/−95% YoY — a one-off-looking below-OP hole on a liquid ~₩1.9tn name. MIXED: operating line is soft-but-green YoY; the NI cliff is the two-way whip, not a clean DOWN dump of the franchise. 1-3%: liquid large-KOSDAQ band compression (LG Display class) — refuse 3-8%/8%+ on size+liquidity. p≈20%: live only +1.2% so most of a small band is still unused into the afternoon.
Why direction: OP +6.6% YoY / −14% QoQ vs NI −95% YoY below-OP hole → MIXED, not clean UP or DOWN. · Why magnitude: Liquid ~₩1.9tn KOSDAQ → MIXED 1-3% band compression; refuse higher bands off the NI headline alone. · Why probability: Live +1.2% / high +1.6% → ~20% leftover of a small band into the close.
DART
up 8%+RF Systems 474610 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-27 11:01 KST · p≈18%
3Q26 OP ₩1.88bn (+207% YoY / +13% QoQ) · sales ₩11.9bn (+57% YoY / +3% QoQ)
Tue 27 Oct 11:01 KST (cash session): RF Systems prints OP +207% YoY and +13% QoQ on sales +57% YoY / +3% QoQ — both axes accelerate, unlike RF Materials’ sequential soft patch same morning. UP: operating leverage on a thin ~₩110bn defense/RF KOSDAQ name is clean re-rating fuel. 8%+: triple-digit YoY OP on sub-₩150bn mcap is Flitto/thin-earnings shock class. p≈18%: live only +1.7% / high +4.4% so most of the band is still unused mid-session leftover (not autopsy).
Why direction: OP +207% YoY and +13% QoQ with matching sales acceleration → clean UP, not MIXED. · Why magnitude: Triple-digit YoY OP on ~₩110bn thin KOSDAQ → UP 8%+ earnings-shock class. · Why probability: Live +1.7% / high +4.4% at enrich → ~18% unused same-session leftover of the 8%+ band.
DART
mixed 8%+RF Materials 327260 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-27 10:37 KST · p≈12%
3Q26 OP ₩4.87bn (+158% YoY / −8% QoQ) · sales ₩24.8bn (+70% YoY / −1% QoQ)
Tue 27 Oct 10:37 KST (cash session): RF Materials prints a huge YoY OP beat (+158%) on +70% sales, but sequential OP slipped −8% and sales −1% vs 2Q. MIXED: YoY re-rating fuel is real on a mid-₩600bn KOSDAQ RF name, yet the sequential soft patch is the LS Eco-class warning that tape can whip both ways. 8%+: YoY OP triple-digit on this mcap clears shock-vol class even with the QoQ haircut. p≈12%: high already +15.5% then faded to flat — first clip spent; leftover is fade/bounce only (don’t-chase).
Why direction: YoY OP +158% / sales +70% vs sequential OP −8% / sales −1% → two-way MIXED, not clean UP. · Why magnitude: Triple-digit YoY OP on ~₩656bn mcap → MIXED 8%+ volatility class (LS Eco); QoQ soft does not cut the band. · Why probability: High already +15.5% then live ≈flat → leftover ~12% autopsy / don’t-chase only.
DART
up 8%+RFHIC 218410 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-27 10:32 KST · p≈15%
3Q26 OP ₩21.7bn (+194% YoY / +94% QoQ) · sales ₩71.1bn (+76% YoY / +38% QoQ)
Tue 27 Oct 10:32 KST (cash session): RFHIC delivers a clean double beat — OP nearly triples YoY and almost doubles QoQ on +76%/+38% sales. UP: both YoY and sequential confirm accelerating RF/defense earnings power on a liquid ~₩1.3tn name. 8%+: absolute OP jump and dual-axis beat clear shock band even after liquidity haircut (high already +14%). p≈15%: mid-session enrich after high +14% / live +6% → first clip largely spent; leftover is hold-or-fade into close, not unused band (don’t-chase).
Why direction: OP +194% YoY and +94% QoQ with matching sales acceleration → clean UP, not MIXED. · Why magnitude: Dual-axis earnings shock on ~₩1.3tn KOSDAQ → UP 8%+ (high already printed the band). · Why probability: High +14% / live +6% at enrich → leftover ~15% don’t-chase / close only.
DART
up 3-8%Eco&Dream 101360 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-27 10:30 KST · p≈14%
Umicore high-Ni NCM precursor PO ₩17.26bn (~12.2% sales / ~9.9% mcap) · zero advance · supply to mid-Dec
Tue 27 Oct 10:30 KST (cash session): Eco&Dream books a named Umicore high-Ni NCM precursor PO for ₩17.26bn (~12% of sales / ~10% of mcap) with near-term delivery through mid-Dec and no advance. UP: named global cathode materials CP + short cash cycle is real backlog, not a multi-year drip. 3-8%: ~10% mcap / Access Bio-class named mega-CP with zero advance — refuse 8%+ despite sales%. p≈14%: high already +9.9% / live +6.7% → first clip mostly spent; leftover don’t-chase into close.
Why direction: Named Umicore near-term precursor PO adds clean cash backlog (prior same-type yes) → UP. · Why magnitude: ~10% mcap / 12% sales + zero advance + short delivery → UP 3-8% (Access Bio); sales%≠8%+. · Why probability: High +9.9% / live +6.7% → leftover ~14% don’t-chase only.
DART
up 3-8%SEMCNS 252990 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-27 10:29 KST · p≈18%
3Q26 OP ₩11.2bn (+106% YoY / +17% QoQ) · sales ₩32.2bn (+55% YoY / +3% QoQ)
Tue 27 Oct 10:29 KST (cash session): SEMCNS shows OP more than doubling YoY with a still-positive +17% QoQ step-up on modest +3% sequential sales. UP: earnings power is accelerating on a ~₩1tn KOSDAQ electronics name, not a one-quarter YoY base effect alone. 3-8%: clean mid-cap beat sized for 3-8% on this liquidity; refuse 8%+ (high already ~+9%). p≈18%: live +6.5% / high +9% means most of the band is in — leftover is residual into close, not a fresh unused clip.
Why direction: OP +106% YoY and +17% QoQ with sales still up → clean UP. · Why magnitude: Mid-cap double YoY OP on ~₩982bn → UP 3-8%; high ~+9% already argues against unused 8%+. · Why probability: Live +6.5% / high +9% → leftover ~18% residual only.
DART
mixed 8%+Green Plus 186230 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-26 19:32 KST · p≈40%
3P rights 3,034,900 sh @ ₩3,295 (−10%) · AriBio + PE Fund 2 · pay-in 9 Dec · same-eve ₩10bn CB @ ₩3,699 (~19.84% OS)
Mon 26 Oct 19:32 KST (after cash close): Green Plus locks a −10% 3P rights of 3.03m shares (~27% of current OS) to AriBio Holding + a PE fund (pay-in 9 Dec) and a ₩10.0bn CB convertible into ~2.70m shares (~19.84% OS) — stacked on the same-evening AriBio control SPA. MIXED: cash and a strategic backer arrive, but discounted primary + CB supply on a thin name is the Mirae/Vivian dilution print. 8%+: rights ~27% OS at −10% plus CB ~20% OS is shock-class float expansion. p≈40%: after-close package still unused into Tue open; dilution side often gaps first on KOSDAQ.
Why direction: · Why magnitude: ~27% OS −10% 3P rights + ~19.84% OS CB on ~₩450bn name (AriBio sleeve) → MIXED 8%+ dilution shock; rights 1st print locks discount. · Why probability: After-close 19:32 + companion SPA still unused → ~40% overnight/auction leftover; dilution gap often leads on open.
DART
mixed 8%+Green Plus 186230 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-26 19:29 KST · p≈38%
Control SPA: AriBio Holding +1 buys 2.30m sh (20.42% OS) @ ₩4,503 · ₩10.356bn · change due 8 Dec 2026
Mon 26 Oct 19:29 KST (after cash close): Green Plus sellers transfer 2.30m shares (20.42% OS) to AriBio Holding +1 at ₩4,503 (~+13% vs last ₩3,975) for ₩10.356bn, with largest-shareholder change due 8 Dec — but the same evening boards a ₩10bn 3P rights (~27% new OS at −10%) plus ₩10bn CB (~19.84% OS). MIXED: control premium and a named strategic buyer can re-rate a thin ag-tech name, yet the concurrent discounted float expansion is a Vivian/Mirae-class supply shock that often dominates the open. 8%+: control flip + ~27% rights + ~20% CB stack clears shock band on a ~₩450bn name. p≈38%: unused overnight into Tue 09:00 auction on a quiet last print — two-way open gap, not a same-session clip.
Why direction: · Why magnitude: 20.42% OS control SPA at premium concurrent with ~27% OS −10% 3P rights + ~19.84% OS CB on ~₩450bn KOSDAQ → MIXED 8%+ (Vivian/Mirae dilution+control class). · Why probability: After-close 19:29 stamp + flat last → ~38% unused overnight/auction leftover of a two-way 8%+ band into Tue open.
DART
up 1-3%Kangstem Biotech 217730 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-26 19:03 KST · p≈26%
FURESTEM-OA Kit Ph1/2a CSR: KOOS/WOMAC/VAS/IKDC beat placebo at 24w (p≤0.007); July 28 topline confirmatory
Mon 26 Oct 19:03 KST (after cash close): Kangstem posts the full Ph1/2a CSR for FURESTEM-OA with statistically significant 24-week KOOS/WOMAC/VAS/IKDC wins vs placebo on mid and high dose — confirming the 28 Jul 2026 topline already on the tape. UP: hard endpoint package vs placebo supports the OA stem-cell narrative on a mid-₩tn KOSDAQ bio. 1-3%: CSR is confirmatory of a known July print, not a first look — refuse 3-8%/8%+. p≈26%: after-close stamp with last flat → modest overnight leftover into Tue open; most of the first-clip reaction likely spent in July.
Why direction: · Why magnitude: Confirmatory Ph1/2a CSR with clean placebo-beat stats after July 28 topline → UP 1-3%; refuse first-look 3-8%/8%+. · Why probability: After-close + July already in tape → ~26% modest overnight leftover only.
DART
up 8%+BenotNR 206400 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-26 17:56 KST · p≈0%
US battery-controller install + utility hookup ₩5.249bn (USD 3.96m) · 109.9% sales / ~20.6% mcap · 30% advance · HALTED
Mon 26 Oct 17:56 KST (after cash close): BenotNR signs a US battery-controller install + utility hookup for ₩5.249bn (USD 3.96m) — 109.9% of sales / ~20.6% of ~₩25.5bn mcap — with 30% advance within 15 days. UP: named near-term cash + US end-market on a tiny KOSDAQ name clears shock size. 8%+: face ≫ sales and ~20%+ of mcap with real advance. p≈0%: name is HALTED — untradeable; resume-gap warning only (Sconec/halted class).
Why direction: · Why magnitude: ₩5.249bn = 109.9% sales / ~20.6% mcap US install with 30% advance → UP 8%+ shock class on thin name. · Why probability: HALTED at enrich → p≈0; resume-gap only, not a cash-session leftover.
DART
up 1-3%Incon 083640 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-26 17:24 KST · p≈28%
Preferred bidder LTE-R upgrade Taebaek+1 · company share ₩5.459bn (51%) · 10.74% sales · unsigned
Mon 26 Oct 17:24 KST (after cash close): Incon is named preferred bidder on a Korea National Railway LTE-R upgrade (Taebaek +1) for a ₩5.459bn company share (51% of ₩10.70bn total; 10.74% of sales / ~23% of ~₩23.5bn mcap) — still unsigned. UP: named public-sector rail-radio award adds backlog on a thin KOSDAQ name. 1-3%: preferred-bidder + unsigned + sales%≠band (Hanwha Ocean / contingent class) — refuse 3-8%/8%+ despite face/mcap. p≈28%: after-close with flat last → overnight leftover into Tue open; final contract still outstanding.
Why direction: · Why magnitude: ₩5.459bn = 10.74% sales / ~23% mcap preferred-bidder unsigned → UP 1-3%; refuse face/mcap trap until signed. · Why probability: After-close stamp + unsigned → ~28% overnight leftover into Tue; contract risk caps p.
DART
mixed 8%+SLS Bio 246250 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-26 17:19 KST · p≈0%
Court injunction filed to stay KRX delisting (23 Oct) · companion investor-protection halt until court decision · HALTED
Mon 26 Oct 17:19 KST (after cash close): SLS Bio asks the court to freeze the 23 Oct KRX delisting and block orderly sale, while KRX halts the name for investor protection until that ruling. MIXED: a successful stay can reopen a residual optionality tape, but delisting risk and halt leave the path binary and untradeable now. 8%+: halt + delisting-dispute class (Sconec) — resume gaps are violent either way. p≈0%: HALTED — no cash-session leftover; resume-gap warning only.
Why direction: · Why magnitude: Delisting-stay injunction + investor-protection halt → MIXED 8%+ resume-gap class (Sconec). · Why probability: HALTED → p≈0; untradeable until court/KRX path clears.
DART