Markets desk

last refresh 2026-10-27 07:51 HKT · Tue morning pack

Daily brief

Morning report — Tue 27 Oct 2026 ~07:51 HKT / 08:51 KST (research/paper)

Research/paper only. No live orders or recommendations. KRX opens 09:00 KST (08:00 HKT); pack written pre-open. Age cut: news Mon 26 + Tue 27; DART ≥ Mon 26 Oct 15:40 KST. Do not treat Yahoo prev-close as a Tuesday gap — Mon official close is last cash.

today Tue pre-open after Mon soft Seoul + split HK. Mon cash: KOSPI 5,469.47 (−1.46%), Samsung ₩213,000 (−1.16%), SK hynix ₩1,275,000 (−0.16%); Yonhap FX 15:30 1,323.1. HK Mon: HSI 23,211.81 (+0.51%), HSTECH 3,857.53 (−0.36%); Zhipu HK$505.50 (+1.30%), MiniMax HK$174.10 (−7.20%). SKHY Mon RTH $142.62 (+4.09%); same-session prem +48.00%. NVDA Mon $216.00 (+2.39%). China AI: DeepSeek+MiniMax export authorisation; Moonshot K3.1 Pro. DART KEEP×6 overnight (Green Plus×2, Kangstem, BenotNR halted, Incon, SLS Bio halted). No 000660 keep.

watchlists US AJ: NEW rows 0. Standing Y: AVGO, MU, MRVL, NVDA (HC), XPEV, META, AMD. Wait ORCL; Caution TSLA, NIO (TSLA Caution reinforced — Elon/marketing/neocloud book-talk); Watch SPCX (neocloud cost-of-capital reinforced); Avoid EOSE, EOS (EOS Avoid reinforced — 3-yr low); N PLTR, AAPL, RIVN, SNDK. Korea attractive: EMPTY. Hardcore unread_protected. Outlook Mon trade-alert app-teaser only.

asia news 8 items (a 4 / b 4 / c 0). DeepSeek+MiniMax export auth; MiniMax −7.2% / Zhipu +1.3%; Moonshot K3.1 Pro; KOSPI −1.46% / Samsung+Hynix soft; HSI+HSTECH split; NVDA +2.4%.

X Priority authors via X MCP: n_new=8 since Mon eve ~21:57 HKT. Sentiment mixed / medium: Jukan CoWoS +20% UP vs AJ EOS Avoid + China AI-infra pour-one-out + MSFT 60k buyouts DOWN; Anthropic prospectus MIXED. Home unavailable; hardcore unread_protected.

DART 6 keeps after age cut (floor Mon 15:40 KST): Green Plus 186230 MIXED 8%+×2 (control SPA + 3P/CB) · Kangstem 217730 UP 1-3% · BenotNR 206400 UP 8%+ halted p≈0 · Incon 083640 UP 1-3% · SLS Bio 246250 MIXED 8%+ halted p≈0. no 000660 in Tue age window. Last watch scan 2026-10-27 09:21 KST. ping_needed=false (already forwarded pre-open).

funding BN vs HL (~07:40 HKT snap; next BN 08:00 HKT): BTC +0.65 / ETH +1.36 / SOL +0.00; SKHY +22.54 bp, SKHYNIX/SKHX +19.75 bp. HL SKHX mark−oracle +71.2 bp. Compressed vs Mon AM. Paper only.

HYROX Warsaw HYROX: OPEN since Wed 14 Oct (PL saleStatus=onSale confirmed curl Tue morning; PRO MEN Friday active @ 600 PLN; last_pinged_id pl-page-onsale-2026-10-14). Outlook newest still Exciting news 5 Oct — no new OPEN/sold-out/wave. ping_needed=false.

US / AJ

Standing board, NEW rows 0. Colour: EOS Avoid reinforced (3-yr low); SPCX Watch / TSLA Caution reinforced (neocloud cost-of-capital / Elon book-talk); Anthropic prospectus colour only — no sleeve. Hardcore unread_protected. Outlook Mon trade-alert app-teaser (portal not accessed).

TickerFollowNote
AVGOYStanding Y. Unchanged.
MUYStanding Y. HC colour prefers US memory MU/SNDK vs adding SK Hynix — no sleeve invent. Paper only.
NVDAY (HC)Standing HC. Mon RTH $216.00 (+2.39%). No sleeve change.
MRVLYStanding Y. Unchanged.
XPEVYStanding Y. Mon eve hardcore #alert already created IBKR REVIEW instruction — not a NEW board row.
METAYStanding Y. Fri Meta Post Q3 colour still standing. Unchanged.
AMDYStanding Y. Unchanged.
ORCLWaitWait sleeve. Unchanged.
TSLACautionCaution reinforced Mon: Elon marketing-ploy / messiah-cult / X marketing machine / neocloud book-talk. No Avoid upgrade on public X. Hardcore unread.
NIOCautionUnchanged.
SPCXWatchWatch reinforced: SpaceX as neocloud (SI 52%/$7.6B); competition = cost of capital. Paper only.
EOSEAvoidAvoid (standing with EOS).
EOSAvoidAvoid reinforced — AJ Mon “3-year low… red flags.”
PLTRNN.
AAPLNN. Jukan iPhone Duo hinge redesign colour — no sleeve invent.
RIVNNN.
SNDKNN. HC prefers US memory vs SK Hynix add — colour only.

Paper only. Hardcore unread_protected (no portal; no invent). AJ portal not accessed.

Korea / KRX

KRX cash opens Tue 27 Oct 09:00 KST / 08:00 HKT (PREOPEN now). Attractive list: EMPTY — no Markets-sourced promotion; 000660 on Hynix desk only; DART keeps stay on DART board.

Mon 26: KOSPI 5,469.47 (−1.46%) (Yonhap EN). 005930 ₩213,000 (−1.16%); 000660 ₩1,275,000 (−0.16%). Foreign net sell ₩695.5bn. FX 15:30 1,323.1. Soft into Wed SK hynix / Thu Samsung Q3 IR + Fed week.

DART KEEP×6 in Tue age window (≥ Mon 15:40 KST): Green Plus 186230 MIXED 8%+×2 · Kangstem 217730 UP 1-3% · BenotNR 206400 UP 8%+ halted · Incon 083640 UP 1-3% · SLS Bio 246250 MIXED 8%+ halted. no 000660 keep (Mon clarification/buyback/cancel on Hynix desk). Q3 IR still Wed 28 Oct 09:00 KST.

Asia news tape

Tuesday age cut: Mon 26 + Tue 27 · n=8 (a 4 / b 4 / c 0) · refreshed 2026-10-27 07:51 HKT / 2026-10-27 08:51 KST. Rank a = China AI / HK; b = SK hynix/Samsung/KOSPI/HSI/NVDA; c = other macro.

Session context: Tue 27 Oct pre-open (~07:51 HKT / 08:51 KST): KRX cash opens 09:00 KST. Mon 26 cash: KOSPI 5,469.47 (−1.46%), Samsung ₩213,000 (−1.16%), 000660 ₩1,275,000 (−0.16%); Yonhap FX 15:30 1,323.1. SKHY Mon RTH $142.62. HK Mon: HSI 23,211.81 (+0.51%); HSTECH 3,857.53 (−0.36%); Zhipu 505.50 (+1.30%); MiniMax 174.10 (−7.20%). NVDA Mon $216.00. Do not invent Tue gap from Yahoo prev-close.

rank aThe Register · PRC state media (Fri) · Mon wire · 2026-10-26

China authorises DeepSeek + MiniMax to keep exporting AI after new export-control catalogue

Register (Mon 26 Oct UTC): Beijing mid-Oct revised Catalogue of Technologies Prohibited/Restricted from Export (23 LLM/agent/cluster items; open-source exempt). Fri state media: DeepSeek and MiniMax received authorization to continue exports — champions can still sell abroad under license regime.

Implication: a-rank China AI: export-license path keeps DeepSeek/MiniMax overseas distribution alive vs blanket ban optics — constructive for China OSS/API export narrative into Tue; idiosyncratic vs Seoul cash.

www.theregister.com/ai-and-ml/2026/10/26/after-threatening-ai-export-ban

rank aYahoo 0100.HK · HK wires · 2026-10-26 close

MiniMax-W 0100.HK −7.20% to HK$174.10 — gives back Fri IPO reclaim

Yahoo official Mon close: MiniMax-W (0100.HK) HK$174.10 (−13.50 / −7.20% vs Fri 187.60; range 160.60–185.80; vol ~17.9m). Fri had reclaimed offer-area optics (+16.74%); Mon fade with soft HSTECH.

Implication: a-rank China AI / HK: MiniMax mean-reverts after Fri bounce — soft HK China-AI optics into Tue; still idiosyncratic vs KRX memory.

finance.yahoo.com/quote/0100.HK/

rank aYahoo 2513.HK · HK AI tape · 2026-10-26 close

Zhipu 2513.HK +1.30% to HK$505.50 — holds Fri rebound while MiniMax fades

Yahoo official Mon close: Zhipu (02513) HK$505.50 (+6.50 / +1.30% vs Fri 499.00; range 466.20–511.00; vol ~5.75m). Diverges from MiniMax −7.2% / HSTECH −0.36%.

Implication: a-rank with MiniMax: Zhipu holds Fri rebound — split China-AI tape on HK, not a Seoul same-session print.

finance.yahoo.com/quote/2513.HK/

rank aMoonshot / Kimi blog · wires · 2026-10-26

Moonshot Kimi K3.1 Pro live — 2.8T MoE / 1M context; open weights targeted 4 Nov

Kimi blog + Mon wires: Kimi K3.1 Pro (2.8T total / ~104B active MoE, 1M-token multimodal) available on Kimi.com/API; Highspeed tier; open weights still targeted 4 Nov 2026. Separate Mon colour: quota reset after launch rate-limit complaints.

Implication: a-rank China AI model: another open-weight frontier push into Fed week — soft constructive China OSS race colour; not Korea cash.

www.kimi.ai/blog/kimi-k3-1-pro

rank bYonhap EN · 2026-10-26 16:33 KST

KOSPI −1.46% to 5,469.47 — foreign sell ahead of chip earnings + Fed

Yonhap EN Mon: KOSPI −80.83 / −1.46% to 5,469.47 after open −0.92%; foreign net sell ₩695.5bn; inst/indiv net buy ₩611bn / ₩47bn. Light turnover ₩12.01tn. Won 1,323.1 /USD at 15:30 (vs Fri 1,324.6).

Implication: Core b-rank: Mon risk-off into SK hynix Wed / Samsung Thu earnings + Fed Tue start. Watch Tue open leftover vs overnight US. Paper only.

en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20261026006452320

rank bYonhap EN · Yahoo/Naver · 2026-10-26 close

Samsung ₩213,000 (−1.16%) / SK hynix ₩1,275,000 (−0.16%) — soft into Q3 week

Yonhap/Yahoo Mon official: Samsung ₩213,000 (−1.16% vs Fri 215,500); SK hynix ₩1,275,000 (−2,000 / −0.16% vs Fri 1,277,000). Hynix traded as high as ₩1,315,000 early then faded. Do NOT invent Tue gap from Yahoo prev-close.

Implication: Chip beta soft Mon into Wed Hynix / Thu Samsung IR. Hynix desk: Mon ₩1,275,000 is last cash into Tue. Paper only.

en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20261026006452320

rank bChina Daily HK · Yahoo HSTECH.HK · 2026-10-26 close

HSI +0.51% to 23,211.81; HSTECH −0.36% to 3,857.53

China Daily HK / Yahoo: Hang Seng Mon 23,211.81 (+0.51% / +118.44 vs Fri 23,093.37). Hang Seng TECH 3,857.53 (−0.36% / −14.13 vs Fri 3,871.66). Split risk — blue-chip up, tech soft.

Implication: b-rank: HK blue-chip firms while HSTECH/China-AI soft with MiniMax — Asia tone mixed into Tue KR open.

www.chinadailyhk.com/hk/article/641700

rank bYahoo NVDA · US Mon RTH · 2026-10-26 close

NVDA Mon RTH $216.00 (+2.39%) — US AI beta rebound into Asia Tue

Yahoo Mon RTH: NVDA $216.00 (+5.04 / +2.39% vs Fri 210.96; range 212.61–217.75; vol ~90.0m). Soft constructive US AI beta overnight into Tue KR pre-open.

Implication: b-rank NVDA-China/AI adjacency: US chip rebound overnight vs Mon Seoul soft — watch Tue auction leftover. Paper only.

finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/

Gaps: HKET EN / SCMP deep paywall skipped. KED Global korean-market not used this pass. Caixin homepage reachable but no fresh Mon/Tue single-name AI wire pulled beyond Register/Moonshot. Finance MCP needsAuth — Korea attractive EMPTY. @alojohhardcore unread_protected (no portal; no invent). Home/Following unavailable (no computerUse). BN next funding 08:00 HKT after ~07:40 snap — used am1027 funding board. Yahoo ^HSI Mon bar C=None mid-pull; used China Daily close 23,211.81 + Yahoo reg. SenseTime / Alibaba-Tencent AI no fresh Mon EN wire beyond Register export colour.

X · tape

mixed Confidence medium. 8 NEW since Mon eve ~21:57 HKT. Morning: Jukan CoWoS +20% UP; AJ EOS Avoid + Citrini China AI-infra pour-one-out + MSFT 60k buyouts DOWN; Anthropic prospectus / hyperscaler cut MIXED. Net mixed / medium. Home unavailable. Hardcore unread_protected.

Sources: public X MCP get_users_posts on @alojoh @citrini @zephyr_z9 @jukan05 @BowTiedBull (NEW window after Mon eve ~21:57 HKT). Home/Following unavailable (no computerUse). @alojohhardcore unread_protected (no portal).

X · priority

2026-10-27 07:51 HKT / 2026-10-27 08:51 KST · priority authors (@alojoh @citrini @zephyr_z9 @jukan05 @BowTiedBull) · NEW since Mon eve ~21:57 HKT: n_new=8 (X MCP). Eve NEW → PRIOR where in Mon+Tue window. Sentiment mixed / medium. Home unavailable. Hardcore unread_protected.

up@jukan05 · 2026-10-27 06:39 HKT · NEW

Jukan: TSMC planning to raise CoWoS prices ~20% (INTC tagged).

Implication: UP TSM advanced-packaging / CoWoS scarcity colour into Tue — constructive ASP/pricing power; soft INTC competitive optics. Paper only.

x.com/jukan05/status/2114849514347806790

mixed@citrini · 2026-10-27 07:03 HKT · NEW

Citrini: 'Correlation ≠ causation' quoting Goldman — AI adoption share now shows statistically significant negative correlation with employment growth (AI spreading beyond tech).

Implication: MIXED AI-labor / productivity colour — soft for labor-share optimism; constructive for AI efficiency narrative into Fed week. Soft single-name.

x.com/citrini/status/2114855526458876231

mixed@zephyr_z9 · 2026-10-27 03:14 HKT · NEW

Zephyr: asks what % workforce hyperscalers (MSFT/GOOG/META/AMZN corp) cut over next 2y from AI efficiency + to fund DC CAPEX.

Implication: MIXED hyperscaler opex vs DC-capex colour — frames MSFT buyout tape as AI-funding reshuffle. Soft single-name.

x.com/zephyr_z9/status/2114797952833405053

mixed@BowTiedBull · 2026-10-27 03:39 HKT · NEW

BowTiedBull: Anthropic IPO should push starting a biz ASAP — white-collar positions eaten (cites MSFT news); back office = code.

Implication: MIXED/DOWN white-collar / soft for labor-intensive software services; constructive agent-builder narrative. Soft single-name.

x.com/BowTiedBull/status/2114804019051012517

down@BowTiedBull · 2026-10-27 00:41 HKT · NEW

BowTiedBull: quotes MSFT offering buyouts to ~60k workers amid AI spending boom — flags rev/employee + profit/employee as key metrics now.

Implication: DOWN MSFT workforce / AI-efficiency colour — soft near-term headcount optics; constructive for AI-capex priority. Soft single-name.

x.com/BowTiedBull/status/2114759305522192688

down@citrini · 2026-10-26 23:06 HKT · NEW

Citrini: 'Pour one out for the Chinese AI infrastructure investors' (Mon eve).

Implication: DOWN China AI-infra / HK China-AI optics — aligns with MiniMax Mon −7.2% / soft HSTECH. Soft a-rank adjacency.

x.com/citrini/status/2114735528973377935

mixed@alojoh · 2026-10-26 22:01 HKT · NEW

AJ: Anthropic preliminary prospectus — 1H rev $16.3B; op loss $693M mostly FV changes on convertible debt.

Implication: MIXED Anthropic IPO / AI-software colour — large rev vs accounting-loss optics. No sleeve invented. Soft single-name.

x.com/alojoh/status/2114719159963574344

down@alojoh · 2026-10-27 00:19 HKT · NEW

AJ: 'EOS is approaching a 3-year low. Told you it was full of red flags.'

Implication: DOWN EOS Avoid reinforced — standing Avoid unchanged. Paper only.

x.com/alojoh/status/2114753682277285967

up@jukan05 · 2026-10-26 16:58 HKT · PRIOR

PRIOR (Mon eve): Jukan — SK hynix preparing $38–45bn additional shareholder returns (mostly special divs after prior buybacks).

Implication: UP 000660 capital-return colour into Wed Q3 IR — constructive vs Mon soft cash. Paper only until print.

x.com/jukan05/status/2114642724360163417

up@jukan05 · 2026-10-26 14:02 HKT · PRIOR

PRIOR (Mon aft): Jukan — Samsung + SK hynix plan 8-high HBM4 mass production / volume Q2 next year (Rubin Ultra / Vera Rubin colour).

Implication: UP 000660/005930 HBM4 volume timeline — constructive into Tue KR. Paper only.

x.com/jukan05/status/2114598413274882053

up@jukan05 · 2026-10-26 16:50 HKT · PRIOR

PRIOR (Mon eve): Jukan — Lam CEO: SLC NAND for AI cuts bits/cell ~⅓ so +1pp SLC ≈ +2% wafer for same bits.

Implication: UP NAND wafer-tightness / memory ASP colour — soft 000660/005930 NAND sleeve. Paper only.

x.com/jukan05/status/2114640844817060254

down@alojoh · 2026-10-26 13:55 HKT · PRIOR

PRIOR (Mon aft): AJ — Neoclouds are funding vehicles if no lasting DC differentiator; competition = cost of capital; Elon shades peers.

Implication: DOWN pure-neocloud / SPCX Watch + TSLA Caution colour. Standing sleeves unchanged.

x.com/alojoh/status/2114596679370391940

down@zephyr_z9 · 2026-10-26 20:03 HKT · PRIOR

PRIOR (Mon eve): Zephyr — NBIS CEO debt markets closed for neoclouds + Elon; 200+ neoclouds face consolidation.

Implication: DOWN pure-neocloud debt-financed peers — reinforces AJ cost-of-capital Caution. Soft NBIS/neocloud.

x.com/zephyr_z9/status/2114689493026705680

up@citrini · 2026-10-26 18:52 HKT · PRIOR

PRIOR (Mon eve): Citrini — Agentic Utilities basket +~38% vs SOXX over 6mo; drawdown −9% vs SOXX −27%.

Implication: UP non-semi agentic-utility / AI-software infra vs SOXX beta. Soft single-name.

x.com/citrini/status/2114671486846025792

DART · material KR

Last-updated 2026-10-27 09:21 KST (Asia/Seoul) · morning pack 2026-10-27 08:51 KST · KEEP×6 after age cut ≥ Mon 15:40 KST · no 000660 · ping_needed=false

mixed 8%+Green Plus 186230 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-26 19:32 KST · p≈40%

3P rights 3,034,900 sh @ ₩3,295 (−10%) · AriBio + PE Fund 2 · pay-in 9 Dec · same-eve ₩10bn CB @ ₩3,699 (~19.84% OS)

Mon 26 Oct 19:32 KST (after cash close): Green Plus locks a −10% 3P rights of 3.03m shares (~27% of current OS) to AriBio Holding + a PE fund (pay-in 9 Dec) and a ₩10.0bn CB convertible into ~2.70m shares (~19.84% OS) — stacked on the same-evening AriBio control SPA. MIXED: cash and a strategic backer arrive, but discounted primary + CB supply on a thin name is the Mirae/Vivian dilution print. 8%+: rights ~27% OS at −10% plus CB ~20% OS is shock-class float expansion. p≈40%: after-close package still unused into Tue open; dilution side often gaps first on KOSDAQ.

Why magnitude: ~27% OS −10% 3P rights + ~19.84% OS CB on ~₩450bn name (AriBio sleeve) → MIXED 8%+ dilution shock; rights 1st print locks discount. · Why probability: After-close 19:32 + companion SPA still unused → ~40% overnight/auction leftover; dilution gap often leads on open.

DART

mixed 8%+Green Plus 186230 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-26 19:29 KST · p≈38%

Control SPA: AriBio Holding +1 buys 2.30m sh (20.42% OS) @ ₩4,503 · ₩10.356bn · change due 8 Dec 2026

Mon 26 Oct 19:29 KST (after cash close): Green Plus sellers transfer 2.30m shares (20.42% OS) to AriBio Holding +1 at ₩4,503 (~+13% vs last ₩3,975) for ₩10.356bn, with largest-shareholder change due 8 Dec — but the same evening boards a ₩10bn 3P rights (~27% new OS at −10%) plus ₩10bn CB (~19.84% OS). MIXED: control premium and a named strategic buyer can re-rate a thin ag-tech name, yet the concurrent discounted float expansion is a Vivian/Mirae-class supply shock that often dominates the open. 8%+: control flip + ~27% rights + ~20% CB stack clears shock band on a ~₩450bn name. p≈38%: unused overnight into Tue 09:00 auction on a quiet last print — two-way open gap, not a same-session clip.

Why magnitude: 20.42% OS control SPA at premium concurrent with ~27% OS −10% 3P rights + ~19.84% OS CB on ~₩450bn KOSDAQ → MIXED 8%+ (Vivian/Mirae dilution+control class). · Why probability: After-close 19:29 stamp + flat last → ~38% unused overnight/auction leftover of a two-way 8%+ band into Tue open.

DART

up 1-3%Kangstem Biotech 217730 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-26 19:03 KST · p≈26%

FURESTEM-OA Kit Ph1/2a CSR: KOOS/WOMAC/VAS/IKDC beat placebo at 24w (p≤0.007); July 28 topline confirmatory

Mon 26 Oct 19:03 KST (after cash close): Kangstem posts the full Ph1/2a CSR for FURESTEM-OA with statistically significant 24-week KOOS/WOMAC/VAS/IKDC wins vs placebo on mid and high dose — confirming the 28 Jul 2026 topline already on the tape. UP: hard endpoint package vs placebo supports the OA stem-cell narrative on a mid-₩tn KOSDAQ bio. 1-3%: CSR is confirmatory of a known July print, not a first look — refuse 3-8%/8%+. p≈26%: after-close stamp with last flat → modest overnight leftover into Tue open; most of the first-clip reaction likely spent in July.

Why magnitude: Confirmatory Ph1/2a CSR with clean placebo-beat stats after July 28 topline → UP 1-3%; refuse first-look 3-8%/8%+. · Why probability: After-close + July already in tape → ~26% modest overnight leftover only.

DART

up 8%+BenotNR 206400 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-26 17:56 KST · p≈0%

US battery-controller install + utility hookup ₩5.249bn (USD 3.96m) · 109.9% sales / ~20.6% mcap · 30% advance · HALTED

Mon 26 Oct 17:56 KST (after cash close): BenotNR signs a US battery-controller install + utility hookup for ₩5.249bn (USD 3.96m) — 109.9% of sales / ~20.6% of ~₩255억 mcap — with 30% advance within 15 days. UP: named near-term cash + US end-market on a tiny KOSDAQ name clears shock size. 8%+: face ≫ sales and ~20%+ of mcap with real advance. p≈0%: name is HALTED — untradeable; resume-gap warning only (Sconec/halted class).

Why magnitude: ₩5.249bn = 109.9% sales / ~20.6% mcap US install with 30% advance → UP 8%+ shock class on thin name. · Why probability: HALTED at enrich → p≈0; resume-gap only, not a cash-session leftover.

DART

up 1-3%Incon 083640 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-26 17:24 KST · p≈28%

Preferred bidder LTE-R upgrade Taebaek+1 · company share ₩5.459bn (51%) · 10.74% sales · unsigned

Mon 26 Oct 17:24 KST (after cash close): Incon is named preferred bidder on a Korea National Railway LTE-R upgrade (Taebaek +1) for a ₩5.459bn company share (51% of ₩10.70bn total; 10.74% of sales / ~23% of ~₩235억 mcap) — still unsigned. UP: named public-sector rail-radio award adds backlog on a thin KOSDAQ name. 1-3%: preferred-bidder + unsigned + sales%≠band (Hanwha Ocean / contingent class) — refuse 3-8%/8%+ despite face/mcap. p≈28%: after-close with flat last → overnight leftover into Tue open; final contract still outstanding.

Why magnitude: ₩5.459bn = 10.74% sales / ~23% mcap preferred-bidder unsigned → UP 1-3%; refuse face/mcap trap until signed. · Why probability: After-close stamp + unsigned → ~28% overnight leftover into Tue; contract risk caps p.

DART

mixed 8%+SLS Bio 246250 · KOSDAQ · 2026-10-26 17:19 KST · p≈0%

Court injunction filed to stay KRX delisting (23 Oct) · companion investor-protection halt until court decision · HALTED

Mon 26 Oct 17:19 KST (after cash close): SLS Bio asks the court to freeze the 23 Oct KRX delisting and block orderly sale, while KRX halts the name for investor protection until that ruling. MIXED: a successful stay can reopen a residual optionality tape, but delisting risk and halt leave the path binary and untradeable now. 8%+: halt + delisting-dispute class (Sconec) — resume gaps are violent either way. p≈0%: HALTED — no cash-session leftover; resume-gap warning only.

Why magnitude: Delisting-stay injunction + investor-protection halt → MIXED 8%+ resume-gap class (Sconec). · Why probability: HALTED → p≈0; untradeable until court/KRX path clears.

DART

SK Hynix map

Korea line

000660 / SKHYNIX / xyz:SKHX

Mon 26 Oct official close ₩1,275,000 (−2,000 / −0.16%) (Yahoo/WSJ/Naver/Yonhap) vs Fri ₩1,277,000. Tue PREOPEN — do not invent gap from Yahoo prev-close. Flows Mon: foreign −310,340 / inst +236,302 / indiv +62,517; FO 48.66% (Naver). DART Mon: rumor clarification special-div/Kioxia (mixed, unconfirmed); treasury buyback 23.69M sh / ₩40.004T (bullish); share cancel 2026-11-05 (bullish). Q3 IR Wed 28 Oct 09:00 KST.

ADR / FX / premium

SKHY / xyz:SKHY

SKHY Mon RTH $142.62 (+4.09%) vs Fri $137.02. Yonhap FX Mon 15:30 1,323.1. Same-session premium Mon +48.00% (142.62 × 10 × 1,323.1 / 1,275,000 − 1).

Pre-open read (~07:40–07:50 HKT): BN SKHYUSDT mark ~144.98 vs Mon ADR $142.62 → ~+1.7%. BN SKHYNIXUSDT ~1007.6 vs Mon KRX-USD ~$963.65 → perp ~+4.6%. Funding BN−HL: SKHY +22.54 bp / SKHYNIX +19.75 bp (am1027 07:40 snap; next BN 08:00 HKT). HL SKHX mark−oracle +71.2 bp.

Paper Seoul rule: NO. Leg A Mon −0.16% fails (needs ≤ −8%); Leg B premium +48.00% passes (needs ≥ +40%). Research flag only — paper only; no SKHY short / no xyz perps / no live.

Context: Mon soft cash into Wed Q3 IR; Jukan $38–45bn returns media + 8-high HBM4 Q2 colour vs HBM4 pin-speed soft earlier Mon. Related perps: BN SKHYUSDT / SKHYNIXUSDT; HL xyz:SKHY / xyz:SKHX only. Best paper idea: none live — Seoul rule fails; watch Tue auction leftover vs Wed IR capital-return print. Paper only.