Markets desk

Research only · paper · last refresh 31 Aug 2026 09:12 HKT / 31 Aug 2026 10:12 KST

Daily brief

mixed confidence medium · Home unavailable · AJ + Fri leftover

Mon 31 Aug 2026 ~07:58 HKT / 08:58 KST

Last cash is Fri 28 Aug. Mon 31 KRX PREOPEN at pack write (09:00 KST) — not a live gap. Paper only. Shorts UNKNOWN (data.krx login-walled). Warsaw HYROX still “TICKET SALES START SOON!” — not open.

watchlists Outlook signed in: one unread AJ “US Credit Market Update” ~02:03 HKT, no ticker memo. @alojoh NEW: S&P 7,712 weekly card; META sold $588 Fri. MRVL post-Q2 HC still Y. RIVN CFO skip N. Rest unchanged: MU, NVDA, XPEV, AMD, ORCL wait, TSLA caution, EOSE avoid, SPCX watch. Korea attractive list empty besides Hynix desk.

news GLM-5.3 full weights live Sat (HF gated=false, 753B, 141 shards). 02513 Fri HK$1,090 (−6.03%) — Monday is first HK cash for the flagship drop. MiniMax Alibaba Cloud ceiling +220% to $1.2bn; 00100 Fri −4.51%. KOSPI Fri 6,788.88 (−1.79%); Hynix −4.45%; HSI +0.07% to 25,584.79. HKET blocked.

X Home @levturtle unavailable this run. @alojoh weekend NEW as above. citrini / zephyr / jukan / BowTied weekend not re-read (browser jammed). Friday Jukan TrendForce / CXMT / NVHBM leftover still inside 60h, kept not re-NEW.

DART TKG Aikang 022220 2nd take-private ₩900 for residual 31% (first Monday tape, KOSDAQ +30% cap ₩780). Kolon Global 003070 fatality + partial work-stop. Dawonsys 068240 6-month public bid ban on ~98% of sales — also first Monday tape. No 000660 KRX securities-market row. English + why on cards.

funding Live 07:54 HKT, next BN 08:00 HKT. SKHYUSDT 157.61 vs xyz:SKHY 157.2 (+26 bp); SKHYNIXUSDT 1169.53 vs xyz:SKHX 1162.8 (+58 bp). Predicted FR deeply neg on both Hynix BN books. Two books stay split. Fade still vetoed. Paper.

Hynix Fri 28 cash 000660 1,653,000 (−4.45% / −77k) V 3,531,892. For −190,235 / Inst −796,000 / Ind +339,503 (Naver labeled KRX). shorts UNKNOWN. SKHY RTH 161.04; AH last 1m $160.5 (Fri 23:59 UTC). FX Yonhap 15:30 1,372.50. prem vs RTH +33.71% (1:10). KIND 28–31 none. Seoul paper rule did NOT fire (−4.45% / +33.71% vs ≤−8% / ≥+40%). Cash PREOPEN — not a live gap.

DART · material KR

Live after 23 Aug 2026 22:17 KST · KOSPI/KOSDAQ · last scan 31 Aug 2026 10:12 KST · TKG Aikang 022220 2nd take-private ₩900 (inside 60h) · Kolon Global 003070 serious-accident fatality (inside 60h) · no 000660 유가 row

up 8%+TKG Aikang 022220 · KOSDAQ · 31 Aug 08:13 KST · p≈65%

2nd take-private tender: ₩900 cash for residual 16.08m sh (31.04%); 31 Aug–19 Sep, settle 22 Sep

What: Parent TKG Taekwang will buy every remaining ordinary share — 16,076,041 sh (31.04% of 51,794,579) at ₩900 cash. Window 31 Aug–19 Sep, settle 22 Sep. Buys all tendered stock, no minimum. They already hold 35,718,538 sh (68.96%) after the April ₩900 tender; 100% if this fills. Purpose is voluntary delisting. 1H26 NI −₩5.01bn. Friday close ₩600, ₩31.1bn cap, PBR 0.37. Pre-open, untraded. Bid is +50% vs Friday.

Why up 8%+, p≈65%: cash bid ₩900 is 50% above Friday ₩600 on a ₩31bn thin book, so tender arb pulls the first 09:00 print toward the bid. 8%+ is the floor; the KOSDAQ ±30% limit caps Monday at ₩780 (still 13% below ₩900). 65% because the filing is a formal second take-private and 09:00 is first tape, but April's same ₩900 bid already failed to hold and leftover holders may skip again.

DART
down 3-8%Kolon Global 003070 · KOSPI · 31 Aug 07:35 KST · p≈55%

1 death at Cheongju Dongnam public-housing site (fall 11 Aug, died 29 Aug); partial work-stop

What: Worker fell 11 Aug while taking down safety railings to put up vertical nets at a rest area on the Cheongju Dongnam public-housing job; died in treatment 29 Aug. 1 dead, 0 injured. Cheongju labor office ordered a partial work-stop at that site the same day. Police and MoEL still investigating. Parent Kolon 002020 filed the same as a sub notice. Friday close ₩9,920, ₩252bn cap. Pre-open, untraded.

Why down 3-8%, p≈55%: this is Serious Accident Punishment Act tape on a small public-housing builder, not lost output from one site. 3-8% not 8%+ because the stop is partial and there is no bid ban. 55% because 09:00 is the first cash print and the death is unambiguous, but the fall was 18 days earlier and there is no CEO charge yet.

DART
down 8%+Dawonsys 068240 · KOSDAQ · 28 Aug 16:12 KST · p≈70%

6-month public-sector bid ban on ~98% of sales (₩255.9bn / ₩261.0bn)

What: PPS sanctioned them as an unfair contractor. Barred from national, local, and public-institution bids 4 Sep 2026–3 Mar 2027. Those customers are ₩255.9bn of ₩261.0bn sales (98%). 2025 audit was an opinion refusal, so the sales base is 2024. They may appeal.

Why down 8%+, p≈70%: this is the new-contract pipeline, not one lost customer. For a ₩97bn name that is operational. 8%+ is the floor because 98% of sales plus a thin book, printed after close so Monday is first tape. 70% not 90% because an appeal could leak a stay and the 2025 opinion-refusal already had hair on the name.

DART
down 8%+KR Motors 000040 · KOSPI · 28 Aug 16:10 KST · p≈55%

53rd CB fully converted: 2.4m shares (~13.9%) at ₩2,500 / ₩6.0bn; list 11 Sep

What: Holders converted the entire ₩6.0bn 53rd private CB into 2.4m new shares at ₩2,500. That is 13.9% of the 17.3m share count. Listing 11 Sep. Zero left unconverted. Close was ₩1,481, below the ₩2,500 strike — they converted anyway. Session already +9.2%.

Why down 8%+, p≈55%: 14% new paper on a ₩26bn microcap is a float shock into list week. Bearish because supply hits a thin book, even though the strike is out of the money. 8%+ is list-week, not necessarily Monday. 55% because listing is two weeks out and today’s +9% already mixed the tape.

DART
mixed 1-3%Commax 036690 · KOSDAQ · 28 Aug 16:12 KST · p≈35%

₩5.39bn cash for 40% of Canada newco NaviComm (17.7% of equity) + ₩3.0bn short-term debt

What: ₩5.39bn cash for 40% of NaviComm Inc., a Canada company set up 10 Aug with blank financials, related to parent Kyungdong Navien. That is 17.7% of Commax equity. Same day they raise short-term debt ₩29.2bn → ₩32.2bn for working capital. Pay-in 2 Sep. No put, not a backdoor listing. Close ₩2,885 flat, ₩126bn cap.

Why mixed 1-3%, p≈35%: headline is global distribution, but it is related-party cash into a two-week-old shell with no P&L, plus extra leverage. Not control (40%) and not a third-party operating buy. ₩5.4bn is ~4% of mcap so 1-3% not 8%+. 35% because the sign is mixed and Monday can go either way.

DART
mixed 3-8%HLB Life Science (HLB생명과학) 067630 · KOSDAQ · 2026-08-28 16:00 KST · p≈45%

₩36.0bn cash for 8.01% of affiliate HLB Innovation (024850) via 3rd-party; 12.1% of equity, pay 7 Sep

타법인주식취득. 에이치엘비이노베이션 2,764,127주 / ₩36.00bn. 자기자본 대비 12.09% · 자산 7.53%. 취득후 8.01%. 제3자배정 현금, 납입 7 Sep. 목적 계열사지분·기업가치. 대상 2025 매출 ₩32.3bn / NI −₩33.7bn. 내재가 ₩13,025 vs 024850 close ₩14,760. Close 067630 ₩2,645 (+0.19%) mcap ₩322.5bn vol 180k — printed 16:00 after cash close, Monday open.

DART
up 3-8%KPX Chemical (KPX케미칼) 025000 · KOSPI · 2026-08-28 15:43 KST · p≈45%

Cancel already-held treasury 231,974 sh (~5.30%) / book ₩11.73bn on 4 Sep

주식소각결정. 기취득 자사주 231,974주 / 발행 4,378,709주 → 5.30%. 장부 ₩11.73bn. 신규 매입 없음. 소각예정 4 Sep (변동 가능). 상법 343조① 이사회, 자본금 불변. 모회사 자회사공시 20260828800502 동일. Live ₩55,800 (+3.72%) mcap ₩244.3bn vol 8.3k — printed after cash close, Monday open.

DART
up 3-8%KPX Holdings (KPX홀딩스) 092230 · KOSPI · 2026-08-28 15:41 KST · p≈50%

Cancel already-held treasury 275,837 sh (~6.53%) / book ₩16.69bn on 4 Sep

주식소각결정. 기취득 자사주 275,837주 / 발행 4,224,646주 → 6.53%. 장부 ₩16.69bn vs live ₩28.77bn. 신규 매입 없음. 소각예정 4 Sep. 상법 343조① 이사회, 자본금 불변. 자회사 KPX케미칼도 같은 패키지. Live ₩104,300 (+2.56%) mcap ₩440.6bn vol 5.9k — after cash close, Monday open.

DART
up 1-3%M&C Solution (엠앤씨솔루션) 484870 · KOSPI · 2026-08-28 15:29 KST · p≈50%

Cancel-purpose buyback trust ₩15.0bn (~3.6% / ~996k sh) via Kiwoom through 28 Feb 2027

자기주식취득신탁계약체결결정. ₩15.00bn / 키움증권 / 2026-08-28~2027-02-28. 목적 소각. 취득예정 996,016주 (27 Aug 종가 ₩15,060 기준). 상장 27.46m주 → ~3.63%. 시총 ~₩415bn → ~3.6% mcap. 취득전 자사주 0. 이사회 28 Aug. Printed into cash close — next open is the cleaner tape.

DART
down 3-8%Ilwoul GML (일월지엠엘) 178780 · KOSDAQ · 2026-08-28 15:05 KST · p≈40%

3rd-party raise 1.51m sh / ₩3.00bn (~8.1% dil) @ ₩1,981 (−10%); 1yr lockup; new-biz WC

유상증자결정. 보통주 1,514,385주 @ ₩1,981 = ₩2,999,996,685. 증자전 18,639,195주 → 희석 ~8.12%. 제3자배정. 기준주가 ₩2,201 · 할인 10%. 운영자금(신규사업) ₩3.00bn. 납입 23 Sep · 상장예정 21 Oct. 1년 보호예수. 배정: 주건테크 / SHEEN POWER / JOY BILLION. Live ₩2,375 (+10.21%) mcap ~₩44.3bn — session already ripping so residual same-session messy vs overnight dilution reset.

DART
mixed 3-8%Wonik Holdings (원익홀딩스) 030530 · KOSDAQ · 2026-08-28 14:30 KST · p≈40%

Parent put on Robotics CPS: 6yr IPO clock, IRR 4% base / 15% listing penalty; max exercise >10% assets

풋백옵션등계약체결결정. 원익로보틱스 CPS 13,707,750주(₩350.0bn) 전부에 대한 부모 현금 풋. 그로스솔루션1호 28 Aug 예정 + KDB 납입 전. 상장 6년(1년 연장 1회). 콜 우선(만료 후 6개월); 미행사 시 풋 IRR 4%. 상장 위약 IRR 15% vs FMV 높은 쪽; 기타 위약 IRR 10%. 최대 행사가액이 직전연도 연결자산 10% 초과. Live ₩21,550 (+6.42%) mcap ₩1.664tn — session high ₩24,700 so CPS pop already in tape.

DART
mixed 3-8%Wonik Holdings (원익홀딩스) 030530 · KOSDAQ · 2026-08-28 14:27 KST · p≈45%

Sub Wonik Robotics ₩350.0bn 3rd-party CPS (KDB + Growth Solution); parent put option pending

종속 원익로보틱스 제3자배정 CPS 13,707,750주 @ ₩25,533 = ₩350.0bn. 그로스솔루션1호 + 산업은행(첨단전략산업기금). 시설 ₩183.9bn + 운영/R&D ₩86.1bn + 타법인 ₩80.0bn(미정). 납입 20 Nov (변경 가능). 부모 풋옵션 별도 공시 예정. Live ₩20,600 (+1.73%) mcap ₩1.59tn.

DART
up 3-8%Seoho Electric (서호전기) 065710 · KOSDAQ · 2026-08-28 14:10 KST · p≈50%

Nantong Huadong crane-control PO ₩13.74bn (11.78% of 2025 sales) through Sep 2027

단일판매ㆍ공급계약. ELECTRICAL CONTROL SYSTEM FOR CRANE. NANTONG HUADONG HEAVY MACHINERY (중국). 확정 ₩13,743,233,010 (USD 9,956,700 @ 1,380.30). 2025 연결매출 ₩116.63bn 대비 11.78%. 기간 28 Aug 2026–15 Sep 2027. 선수금 10% TT / 선적 70% / 시운전 후 20%. 자체+외주. 3년 동종 해당. Live ₩44,950 (+1.93%) mcap ₩231.5bn — session high ₩47,400 so partial in tape.

DART
up 5-12%Youngheung (영흥) 012160 · KOSPI · 2026-08-28 12:54 KST · p≈50%

Changwon A-lot: ₩27.0bn of ₩34.5bn land sale received today; close 4 Sep

기재정정 유형자산양도(원 15 Apr 2025). A필지 창원 신촌동 71-1 42,308.9㎡. 장부 ₩59.66bn / 2024 연결자산 ₩513.40bn = 11.62%. 실거래 ₩34.50bn. 금아하이드파워. 2차 중도금 ₩27.00bn 당일 수령, 잔금 ₩0.60bn 4 Sep. 관련 B필지 71-5 실거래 ₩20.40bn 처분일 4 Sep. Live ₩2,595 mcap ₩40.5bn.

DART

Asia news · Yonhap / KED / HKET / SCMP

Mon 31 Aug pack · vs Fri 28. GLM-5.3 full weights dropped Sat. HKET blocked (www 405, invest 500) — HSI/02513/00100 from Yahoo. KED zHBM lede only. Flash/BOK hike/Indiana/Ulsan/H200 not rehashed.

Hugging Face / Z.aiSat 29 Aug 17:51 HKT

GLM-5.3 full weights are live — Friday’s Upcoming-release countdown is closed

HF API zai-org/GLM-5.3: gated=false, 141 FP8 safetensors shards, ~753.3B params, 50,116 downloads, lastModified 29 Aug 09:51 UTC. License tagged other, not MIT. The 14 Aug z.ai blog still says weights “soon in two weeks.”

Monday is the first HK/KR cash session with the flagship 753B downloadable. Flash was already priced Thursday; Friday’s pack still had the repo gated. Not a clean MIT dump.

Hugging Face
Yahoo / Z.AI 02513Fri 28 Aug 16:08 HKT close

Z.AI 02513 faded Friday after Thursday’s Flash spike; weight drop is after the close

2513.HK Fri close HK$1,090 (−6.03% / −70; open 1,155, high 1,171, low 1,063, vol 3.86m). Thu close HK$1,160 (+12.62%). GLM-5.3 lastModified is Sat 17:51 HKT, after Friday HK cash.

Thursday’s +12% Flash rally faded into Friday. Monday is the first session that can reprice flagship open weights. No Monday print at pack time.

Yahoo 02513
SCMPFri 28 Aug 16:00 HKT

MiniMax lifts Alibaba Cloud ceiling 220% to US$1.2bn as H1 compute burns

SCMP: MiniMax raised the 3-year Alibaba Cloud purchase ceiling 220% to US$1.2bn. 2026 spend cap nearly triples to US$300m from US$115m after using two-thirds of the old budget by end-June; 2027 US$400m and 2028 US$500m. H1 revenue +283% to US$116.6m. 00100 Fri HK$300.40 (−4.51%).

Alibaba Cloud capturing MiniMax training+inference spend even as 00100 sold off with the HK AI complex. Mixed-to-bearish MiniMax unit economics; overlay on 9988 cloud.

SCMP
SCMPSat 29 Aug 14:00 HKT

Alibaba / MiniMax / ByteDance take 8 of 10 on Artificial Analysis text-to-video

SCMP: Alibaba Wan 3.0 ranks 1st on Artificial Analysis T2V (with audio), ahead of Google Gemini Omni Flash; a fal post-train of MiniMax H3 is 3rd, original open-weight H3 4th, ByteDance Seedance 2.0 5th. Chinese models occupy 8 of the top 10. Alibaba owns SCMP.

Weekend product confirmation for China AI listed/parent names on video-gen, not just chat. DeepSeek / Moonshot / SenseTime not named with numbers here.

SCMP
YonhapFri 28 Aug 15:30 KST close

KOSPI Friday −1.79% to 6,788.88; SK hynix −4.45%, Samsung −3.38%

Yonhap: KOSPI −123.49 pts / −1.79% to 6,788.88, snapping a 3-day rise. Wait-and-see into Jackson Hole plus reported US semiconductor-tariff talk. Samsung ₩257,000 (−3.38%); SK hynix ₩1,653,000 (−4.45%). KOSDAQ +0.09% to 838.41. Foreigners net sold ₩1.7586tn on KOSPI; institutions ₩284.2bn; individuals +₩424.4bn. Won ₩1,372.5/USD at 15:30.

Missing Friday KR close vs the prior pack’s Thursday 6,912 print. Monday 09:00 KST opens from 6,788.88. Warsh hawkish Jackson Hole still unpriced in KR cash. PREOPEN is not a live gap.

Yonhap
Yahoo (HKET blocked)Fri 28 Aug 16:08 HKT close

HSI Friday +0.07% to 25,584.79; week still −1.63% vs 21 Aug

Yahoo ^HSI: Fri close 25,584.79 (+19.09 / +0.07%). Thu 25,565.74. Week vs Fri 21 Aug 26,009.46 is −1.63%. HSTECH Fri −0.33% to 4,605.15 (secondary). HKET www.hket.com 405 and invest.hket.com 500 — no HKET headlines this run.

HSI only flattened after Thursday’s −0.34%. HK AI names underperformed (02513 −6.03%, 00100 −4.51%).

Yahoo HSI
KED GlobalFri 28 Aug · lede only

Samsung: zHBM around 2029 (maybe 2028); Taylor Fab 2 within 3 years

KED lede (body behind meter): Samsung’s US semiconductor chief said next-gen zHBM commercialisation around 2029, potentially as early as 2028, and a second advanced foundry fab in Taylor, Texas, online within three years to support US customers. Heat is the key hurdle. No extra capex figures on the public lede.

Near-term HBM leadership still SK hynix’s tape. Samsung is pointing at 2028–29 3D/zHBM and more US foundry. Do not fill paywalled body numbers.

KED Global
YonhapMon 31 Aug morning KST

July industrial output flat, retail −2.4%, facility investment +7.5%

Yonhap, Sejong 31 Aug: July industrial production unchanged m/m. Mining & manufacturing +0.2% (electronic components); autos −4.5%. Retail −2.4% (durables/cars). Facility investment +7.5% m/m.

First official KR print of the week, into PREOPEN after Friday’s memory dump. Capex bounce is chip-cycle friendly; flat IP and weak retail are not a demand shock.

Yonhap

SK Hynix map

Korea line

000660 / SKHYNIX / xyz:SKHX

Fri 28 cash 1,653,000 (−4.45% / −77k) V 3,531,892. For −190,235 / Inst −796,000 / Ind +339,503 (Naver labeled KRX). shorts UNKNOWN (data.krx login-walled). Mon 31 cash PREOPEN 09:00 KST — not a live gap. KIND 28–31 none. DART 28 Aug FTC-scoped large-business-group status filing rcpNo 20260828000879 (not a KRX securities-market row). Seoul paper rule did NOT fire (−4.45% / +33.71% vs ≤−8% / ≥+40%). Live 07:54 HKT: BN SKHYNIXUSDT 1169.53 vs xyz:SKHX 1162.8 (+58 bp). Two books stay split. Paper.

ADR line

SKHY / xyz:SKHY

SKHY RTH $161.04 (Fri 28). AH last 1m $160.5 (Fri 23:59 UTC — Yahoo includePrePost). FX Yonhap 15:30 1,372.50. ADS=0.1 → implied ~$120.44; prem vs RTH +33.71% (AH +33.26%). Not convert arb. Live 07:54 HKT: BN SKHYUSDT 157.61 vs xyz:SKHY 157.2 (+26 bp). Do not mix ~1.65m KRW cash with ~$161 ADS. Two books stay split.

SKHYUSDT vs SKHYNIX/10 premium + BN funding

Share-equivalent hedge is 10 SKHY per 1 SKHYNIX. Dollar hedge leaves leftover Hynix beta. Indiana is packaging, not a convert-arb print. Best paper observation: BN ORD-scale book ~58 bp rich vs HL xyz:SKHX; predicted BN FR deeply neg into 08:00 HKT. Fade still vetoed. Paper.

SKHY vs SKHYNIX premium and funding

BN vs HL (Korea pair)

SKHYNIX vs xyz:SKHX funding Backtest equity

Live 31 Aug 07:54 HKT (BN serverTime). Next BN funding 08:00 HKT. SKHYUSDT mark 157.61 / idx 158.46 / pred FR −0.0025655 (last settled 0). SKHYNIXUSDT mark 1169.53 / idx 1175.34 / pred FR −0.00231392 (last settled 0, 4h clock). xyz:SKHY 157.2 / oracle 158.46 / hourly −0.000723. xyz:SKHX 1162.8 / oracle 1160.9 / hourly ~0. Two books stay split. Fade still vetoed. Paper.

Majors: BTC BN 77500 vs HL 77561 (−8 bp); ETH 2409.83 vs 2416.51 (−28 bp); SOL 101.46 vs 101.75 (−29 bp). Seoul paper rule did NOT fire on Fri 28 (−4.45% / +33.71% vs ≤−8% / ≥+40%). Cash 000660 PREOPEN 09:00 KST — not a live gap. Paper only.

US / AJ

TickerFollowNote
NVDAYStill live. AJ HC 27 Aug deep-dive. No new weekend memo. Public tape has no new numbers this morning.
MRVLYFollow-up Y. @alojoh post-Q2 HC memo after −8%+. X 28 Aug 16:25 HKT. No newer MRVL post over the weekend.
MUYCheapest PEG in 22 Aug AJ article. Unchanged. CXMT 1H profit bomb is the China-memory overlay from Friday X, not a new AJ memo.
XPEVYAJ $12.20 / IRON humanoid. Unchanged.
METAbookedAJ sold $598 26 Aug, rebought $569 27 Aug, sold $588 28 Aug (+3.4%). Tactical around strength, currently flat-ish. Not a new long.
AMDYCorridor entries after the dump. Unchanged.
ORCLYWait, don’t chase.
PLTR / AAPLNExpensive growth. Unchanged.
EOSEavoidAJ red flags
TSLAcautionUnchanged. Weekend Waymo/robotaxi posts are thematic, not a TSLA memo.
RIVNNSkip. @alojoh CFO commentary 30 Aug is personnel chatter, not a buy/sell memo.
SPCXwatchAJ follow-up unchanged.

Outlook signed in this morning: one unread AJ “US Credit Market Update” ~02:03 HKT (investment-grade spreads) — no ticker memo extracted. Weekend X: S&P 7,712 weekly card (+0.5% w/w, +2.8% vs Q2). Rest of list from 22 Aug extract + 26–28 Aug META tape + 27–28 Aug NVDA/MRVL HC.

Korea / KRX

Last cash Fri 28 Aug. Mon 31 PREOPEN 09:00 KST — not a live gap. Attractive list empty besides Hynix desk. KOSPI 6,788.88 (−1.79% / −123.49). 000660 1,653,000 (−4.45% / −77k) V 3,531,892. Samsung ₩257,000 (−3.38%). For −190,235 / Inst −796,000 / Ind +339,503 on Hynix (Naver labeled KRX). shorts UNKNOWN (data.krx login-walled). Foreigners net sold ₩1.7586tn on KOSPI Friday. SKHY RTH $161.04; AH $160.5. FX Yonhap 15:30 ₩1,372.50. prem vs RTH +33.71% (1:10). KIND 28–31 none. Seoul paper rule did NOT fire.

Monday official print (Yonhap): July industrial output flat, retail −2.4%, facility investment +7.5%. KED lede: Samsung zHBM around 2029 (maybe 2028) and Taylor Fab 2 within 3 years — body paywalled. Warsh Jackson Hole Friday (CNBC): summer inflation readings “do not tell me that underlying trends have meaningfully improved”; 2y UST +~8 bp to 4.31%; Sept hike odds 55.7% — unpriced in KR cash until 09:00 KST.

Thu 27 (not live): KOSPI +1.53% to 6,912.37 on NVDA then fade after BOK +25 bp to 3.00%. Indiana HBM packaging groundbreaking and SK Ulsan 49% DC sale already in Friday’s pack — not rehashed. No live trade recs.

X · priority

Mon 31 Aug scan · Home @levturtle UNAVAILABLE this run (browser jammed after @alojoh/@citrini). citrini / zephyr_z9 / jukan05 / BowTiedBull weekend posts not re-read. @alojoh from logged-in profile. Friday leftover still inside 60h Monday exception, kept not re-NEW.

mixed SPXAJ @alojoh · 29 Aug 01:07 HKT · NEW · weekend

Weekly Market Valuation: S&P 7,712 Friday, +0.5% w/w, +2.8% vs Q2 close

AJ Saturday card: S&P 500 closed 7,712 Fri 28 Aug, +0.5% week-on-week vs 7,674, and +2.8% above the Q2 close — a level first reached 4 Aug. Gated article; the tape numbers are public in the card.

Tape: index at new-ish highs into Monday Asia. No fresh AI/semi datapoint in the public card. Follow-up is the gated valuation piece, not a new ticker memo.

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mixed METAAJ @alojoh · 29 Aug 01:04 HKT · NEW · weekend

AJ META round-trip: avg $562, sold $598, rebought $569, sold $588

Trade record: averaged $562 (18 Aug), sold $598 (26 Aug, +6.5%), rebought $569 (27 Aug), sold $588 (28 Aug, +3.4%). Tactical around strength, currently flat-ish META.

Tape: booked row stays booked. Not a new long. Overlay on the 22 Aug META “2nd-best entry” thesis — he is trading the bounce, not adding.

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skip RIVNAJ @alojoh · 30 Aug 15:23 HKT · NEW · weekend

RIVN CFO commentary — personnel, not a buy/sell memo

Ex-IB, moved from a $16B mcap company to $243B; CFO after 1 year as MD at JPM. CV “opportunistic” / “risk taker.” No numbers, no entry.

Follow-up N. Do not treat as a RIVN idea.

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bullish AI GPU / HBMJukan @jukan05 · 28 Aug 19:52 HKT · NEW · 21:30 pass

TrendForce: Vera Rubin ASP ~2× GB300; GB300+VR stack ~$710bn next year

TrendForce via Jukan: Vera Rubin ASP expected at ~2× GB300. Combined production value of GB300, VR200, and VR300 next year projected at ~$710bn.

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mixed DRAM / SKHYJukan @jukan05 · 28 Aug 18:19 HKT · NEW · 21:30 pass

CXMT 1H26: RMB150bn rev (+873%), RMB77.6bn profit swing

CXMT 1H26 revenue RMB150.31bn (+873% YoY). Net profit RMB77.61bn vs a RMB2.33bn loss in 1H25 (1Q alone RMB33.01bn). Zephyr QT: revenue still +60–90% in H2 2026.

Tape: China DRAM catch-up is real P&L now. Mixed/negative medium-term for SKHY/Samsung commodity DRAM; HBM remains the SKHY moat. Folded Zephyr 19:58 QT + source reply.

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mixed Samsung phoneJukan @jukan05 · 28 Aug 17:08 HKT · NEW · 21:30 pass

Galaxy Z Fold 8 ramp hits DDI crunch at UMC 22nm

Korean media via Jukan: Samsung ramping Fold 8 on strong demand, but DDI supply is tight — UMC 22nm for the Fold 8 DDIs is fully utilized; Samsung asked for “super” priority. Also tapping next-year development volume.

Tape: handset demand + foundry/DDI bottleneck. Mild Samsung overlay; not a HBM/000660 print. Folded zdnet source reply.

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mixed MRVLAJ @alojoh · 28 Aug 16:25 HKT · NEW · 21:30 pass

AJ MRVL post-Q2 memo out; −8%+; “is now the time to buy?”

AJ published the Marvell updated-outlook deep dive. Share down >8%. Assesses new earnings path, risks, and whether to buy. Notes NVDA and Alphabet invested. HC-only numbers.

Tape: follow-up to the morning −11% / nailed-$0.94 avoid print. Public tape has the question, not the answer — do not treat as a fresh short.

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bearish SKHY HBM shareJukan @jukan05 · 28 Aug 14:10 HKT · NEW · 21:30 pass

[Exclusive] Samsung early lead in Nvidia NVHBM after HBM4

Jukan exclusive: Samsung Electronics poised as a key supplier for Nvidia’s customized HBM (“NVHBM”) after HBM4. NVDA pursuing a new AI-memory strategy for next-gen platforms.

Tape: core SKHY risk. Morning NVHBM/NVLink Fusion had AWS/Annapurna first; this puts Samsung in the early lead. Negative for 000660 sole-source narrative — watch share split. Not a DART.

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mixed MLCCZephyr @zephyr_z9 · 28 Aug 13:56 HKT · NEW · 21:30 pass

Japan MOF July MLCC exports: vol +20%, price −1% mom

Zephyr one-word QT of Japan MOF July trade stats: average MLCC export price −1% mom, volume +20%, value +19%. “Murata...”

Tape: volume upcycle with soft ASP. Pairs with 27 Aug SEMCO 4Q26 hike card — volume confirms, price not yet. Mild 009150/Murata overlay.

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bullish CCLJukan @jukan05 · 28 Aug 13:37 HKT · 13:30 pass

Panasonic hikes CCL prices on copper foil / glass fiber

Jukan: Panasonic raising copper-clad laminate prices on rising copper foil and glass fiber costs.

Tape: CCL/PCB cost pass-through. Supportive packaging-materials; pairs with morning Meritz GB200/300 CCL chain.

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mixed packagingJukan @jukan05 · 28 Aug 12:27 HKT · 13:30 pass

DIGITIMES: wire-bonding bottleneck into 2027

DIGITIMES via Jukan: AI server growth is stressing not only advanced packaging but traditional packaging too. Wire-bonding equipment tightening; IC design faces a 2027 bottleneck as demand outstrips TSMC advanced packaging and classic bond tools.

Tape: packaging capacity risk beyond CoWoS. Equipment bid; SKHY-adjacent OSAT/packaging overlay. Folded the second DIGITIMES link tweet.

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mixed MU laborJukan @jukan05 · 28 Aug 10:49 HKT · 13:30 pass

Micron Taiwan strike support hits 80% (prelim)

QT dnystedt: support for a Micron Taiwan strike over bonus pay hit 80% in a preliminary survey. Parallel to Samsung May, when a last-minute deal averted a walkout. Jukan: “Taiwanese people, rise up!!”

Tape: MU labor risk in Taiwan. Watch deal vs walkout. Mild memory-supply overlay, not a SKHY DART.

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mixed AI semisJukan @jukan05 · 28 Aug 10:43 HKT · 13:30 pass

Anthropic may want a training chip

Jukan one-liner: “It sounds like Anthropic may be interested in developing a training chip.”

Tape: custom-silicon rumor only. Longer-term NVDA attach risk if real; near-term noise.

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X · tape sentiment

mixed confidence medium · Home UNAVAILABLE · 31 Aug 2026 07:59 HKT

Home @levturtle not read this run (browser jammed after @alojoh / @citrini profile). Weekend NEW is AJ-only. Friday Jukan leftover still inside 60h (Monday exception), kept not re-NEW. citrini / zephyr_z9 / jukan05 / BowTiedBull weekend not re-scanned.

  • NEW: AJ Weekly Market Valuation — S&P 7,712 Fri, +0.5% w/w, +2.8% vs Q2 close.
  • NEW: AJ META round-trip sold $588 Fri; currently flat-ish, not a new long.
  • NEW: AJ RIVN CFO skip. MRVL HC memo unchanged from Friday.
  • Kept: Jukan TrendForce Rubin ASP / $710bn stack; CXMT 1H profit bomb; Samsung NVHBM exclusive — SKHY overlays from Friday evening.
  • Macro overlay (not X): Warsh hawkish Jackson Hole into Monday KR open.

Overall: mixed, confidence medium (index highs + GLM-5.3 weights vs Friday KR memory dump + Warsh + AJ taking META profits). JSON: x-feed.json